Análisis Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.83
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.16
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-37%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2004 |
SAN
5 - 0
JWI
83%
11%
6%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2004 |
IBE
0 - 1
JWI
45%
25%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2004 |
JWI
4 - 2
SAC
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 mar. 2004 |
JWI
2 - 2
BSC
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2004 |
GUA
3 - 1
JWI
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 abr. 2004 |
AUR
3 - 1
LAP
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 1
AUR
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 mar. 2004 |
AUR
2 - 2
OPE
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2004 |
STR
1 - 2
AUR
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 mar. 2004 |
AUR
1 - 3
UNI
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |