Análisis Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-37%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ago. 2004 |
SAC
2 - 1
JWI
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 ago. 2004 |
JWI
2 - 0
UNI
56%
22%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 ago. 2004 |
BLO
0 - 2
JWI
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 jul. 2004 |
JWI
1 - 0
OPE
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 jun. 2004 |
OPE
2 - 2
JWI
62%
20%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ago. 2004 |
BOL
3 - 1
AUR
67%
17%
15%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 2004 |
AUR
0 - 2
UNI
54%
23%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 ago. 2004 |
AUR
1 - 2
BOL
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 ago. 2004 |
OPE
4 - 0
AUR
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 ago. 2004 |
AUR
2 - 1
SAC
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |