Análisis Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.06
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 2005 |
UNI
2 - 4
JWI
25%
27%
49%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2005 |
JWI
3 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 abr. 2005 |
BLO
0 - 0
JWI
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 mar. 2005 |
JWI
3 - 0
IBE
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 mar. 2005 |
BOL
1 - 0
JWI
58%
22%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 2005 |
AUR
2 - 0
DES
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2005 |
OPE
3 - 3
AUR
60%
21%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2005 |
AUR
0 - 0
LAP
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2005 |
STR
0 - 1
AUR
54%
24%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 mar. 2005 |
AUR
1 - 1
RPO
40%
26%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |