Análisis Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.82
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 2005 |
STR
1 - 0
JWI
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 2005 |
BLO
2 - 3
JWI
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 sep. 2005 |
JWI
2 - 0
IBE
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2005 |
AUR
1 - 2
JWI
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 sep. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 1
JWI
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 2005 |
AUR
0 - 1
BOL
30%
27%
44%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2005 |
AUR
1 - 1
OPE
35%
27%
39%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2005 |
LAP
1 - 0
AUR
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 sep. 2005 |
AUR
1 - 2
JWI
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2005 |
AUR
0 - 1
UNI
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |