Análisis Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-37%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2007 |
JWI
1 - 0
RPO
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2007 |
DES
2 - 1
JWI
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 abr. 2007 |
JWI
2 - 0
BLO
55%
23%
21%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 abr. 2007 |
STR
1 - 1
JWI
39%
26%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2007 |
JWI
2 - 1
LAP
65%
21%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 2007 |
AUR
1 - 0
UNI
42%
28%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
OPE
1 - 0
AUR
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2007 |
AUR
2 - 0
SAN
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2007 |
BOL
2 - 1
AUR
52%
24%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2007 |
LAP
2 - 2
AUR
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |