Análisis Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.54
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.1
Goles esperados
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-37%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 ago. 2007 |
JWI
1 - 1
ACS
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 ago. 2007 |
JWI
3 - 1
OPE
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 ago. 2007 |
ACS
2 - 0
JWI
61%
22%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 jul. 2007 |
REA
1 - 0
JWI
39%
27%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2007 |
JWI
1 - 3
BOL
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 ago. 2007 |
DES
1 - 2
AUR
39%
25%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 jul. 2007 |
AUR
2 - 0
BLO
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2007 |
STR
2 - 2
AUR
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 jun. 2007 |
REA
2 - 3
AUR
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 jun. 2007 |
AUR
1 - 2
OPE
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |