Análisis Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.48
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.31
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-37%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 jun. 2008 |
BLO
2 - 0
JWI
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 jun. 2008 |
JWI
4 - 0
GUA
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 jun. 2008 |
BOL
5 - 1
JWI
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 may. 2008 |
JWI
0 - 2
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 may. 2008 |
OPE
3 - 4
JWI
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 jun. 2008 |
AUR
4 - 2
OPE
34%
26%
39%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 jun. 2008 |
LAP
2 - 2
AUR
55%
23%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 may. 2008 |
AUR
3 - 0
REA
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 may. 2008 |
AUR
0 - 0
UNI
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 may. 2008 |
AUR
3 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |