Análisis Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
36.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.38
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.3%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.41
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-36%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 may. 2009 |
REA
2 - 1
JWI
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2009 |
RPO
4 - 0
JWI
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 abr. 2009 |
JWI
0 - 3
SAN
39%
25%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 abr. 2009 |
OPE
2 - 1
JWI
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2009 |
JWI
0 - 2
BOL
39%
26%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 may. 2009 |
LAP
2 - 3
AUR
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2009 |
AUR
0 - 3
NAC
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 abr. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 2
UCH
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 1
AUR
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 abr. 2009 |
AUR
3 - 1
STR
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |