Análisis Junior vs Envigado
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.31
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.6%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 1
JUN
18%
25%
57%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 0
JUN
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 may. 2010 |
JUN
3 - 2
RSC
86%
11%
4%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2010 |
JUN
3 - 2
COR
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2010 |
JUN
1 - 2
CAR
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 may. 2010 |
NAC
3 - 1
ENV
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2010 |
ENV
2 - 0
QUI
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 may. 2010 |
ENV
1 - 1
RIO
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 may. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 0
ENV
61%
21%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2010 |
ONC
0 - 0
ENV
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |