Análisis Junior vs Millonarios
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.05
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.1%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 abr. 2007 |
PAS
1 - 1
JUN
29%
28%
44%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2007 |
JUN
2 - 2
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2007 |
JUN
3 - 2
QUI
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2007 |
ONC
1 - 1
JUN
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2007 |
JUN
2 - 1
CUC
68%
18%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 abr. 2007 |
MIL
2 - 0
TOL
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2007 |
MIL
4 - 2
SFE
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 mar. 2007 |
PER
1 - 1
MIL
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2007 |
MIL
5 - 1
IND
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 mar. 2007 |
PAS
0 - 1
MIL
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |