Análisis Junior vs Real Cartagena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
72.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.17
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.7%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.63
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 sep. 2006 |
JUN
1 - 0
PAS
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2006 |
MIL
3 - 1
JUN
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2006 |
JUN
1 - 1
PER
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 0
JUN
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 ago. 2006 |
JUN
2 - 2
BUC
68%
19%
12%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 sep. 2006 |
TOL
4 - 1
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 0
SFE
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 ago. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 1
AME
29%
27%
45%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2006 |
ONC
1 - 1
CAR
64%
23%
13%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 ago. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 0
JUN
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |