Análisis Junior vs Real Cartagena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
70.2%
Probabilidad gana
2.12
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 mar. 2012 |
BOL
2 - 1
JUN
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2012 |
JUN
3 - 1
CHI
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2012 |
JUN
0 - 1
CAR
76%
16%
9%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 mar. 2012 |
PAT
2 - 1
JUN
24%
28%
48%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2012 |
JUN
0 - 1
BOL
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 mar. 2012 |
CUC
0 - 1
CAR
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2012 |
JUN
0 - 1
CAR
76%
16%
9%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 mar. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 3
TOL
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 1
CAR
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
CHI
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |