Análisis Junior vs Universitario Deportes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.91
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 2001 |
CEN
1 - 0
JUN
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2001 |
JUN
4 - 0
VEL
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 mar. 2001 |
UNI
1 - 2
JUN
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 feb. 2001 |
VEL
2 - 0
JUN
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 feb. 2001 |
JUN
3 - 1
CEN
42%
24%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 0
UNI
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2001 |
UNI
1 - 1
CEN
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 mar. 2001 |
UNI
1 - 2
JUN
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 feb. 2001 |
CEN
6 - 0
UNI
71%
18%
12%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 feb. 2001 |
UNI
0 - 2
VEL
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |