Análisis EC Juventude vs Avaí
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.7
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 oct. 1979 |
JUV
2 - 0
SER
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 1979 |
JUV
2 - 1
CON
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 oct. 1979 |
GOI
2 - 1
JUV
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 oct. 1979 |
JUV
0 - 0
CEC
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 1979 |
JUV
2 - 0
ANA
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +2 |
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 oct. 1979 |
AVA
1 - 1
CON
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 1979 |
AVA
0 - 1
CEC
37%
25%
39%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 1979 |
AVA
1 - 1
LON
40%
27%
32%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 sep. 1979 |
ANA
2 - 1
AVA
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 sep. 1979 |
GOI
1 - 1
AVA
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |