Análisis Juventus vs Modena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.09
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
11.9%
Empate
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 oct. 1945 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
49%
22%
29%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 1945 |
JUV
2 - 1
TOR
58%
20%
22%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 may. 1943 |
JUV
5 - 0
BAR
83%
10%
6%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 abr. 1943 |
JUV
2 - 6
VIC
85%
9%
6%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 abr. 1943 |
FIO
3 - 4
JUV
50%
22%
28%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 oct. 1945 |
BRE
1 - 0
MOD
46%
24%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 1945 |
BOL
2 - 2
MOD
80%
12%
8%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +2 |
| 27 sep. 1942 |
MOD
0 - 4
BOL
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1942 |
MOD
2 - 0
USA
59%
21%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 jun. 1942 |
ROM
2 - 0
MOD
72%
16%
12%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |