Copa Intertoto . Semifinal
Global 1-4
Análisis Lazio vs Olympique Marseille
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
55.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.68
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 jul. 2005 |
TAM
1 - 1
LAZ
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 jul. 2005 |
LAZ
3 - 0
TAM
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 may. 2005 |
PAL
3 - 3
LAZ
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 may. 2005 |
LAZ
1 - 1
FIO
70%
19%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2005 |
ROM
0 - 0
LAZ
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 jul. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 1
YOB
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 jul. 2005 |
YOB
2 - 3
MAR
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 may. 2005 |
GIR
3 - 3
MAR
47%
27%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 may. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 1
LYO
30%
27%
43%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 may. 2005 |
AUX
0 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |