Análisis Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs Arg. Rosario
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
57.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+16%
+35%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 abr. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 0
ALE
48%
27%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2016 |
ALE
4 - 0
YUP
44%
27%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 mar. 2016 |
JUU
1 - 0
ALE
62%
23%
15%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 mar. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
CLA
70%
19%
11%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +3 |
| 05 mar. 2016 |
LAM
1 - 1
ALE
35%
30%
35%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 abr. 2016 |
ARR
3 - 0
CLA
65%
21%
15%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2016 |
ARR
3 - 0
VIC
58%
23%
19%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 mar. 2016 |
PUE
2 - 1
ARR
60%
22%
18%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 0
CBA
47%
25%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 mar. 2016 |
DPA
1 - 3
ARR
66%
21%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |