Análisis Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs CA Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
16.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 2013 |
JUU
1 - 1
ALE
45%
27%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2013 |
ALE
4 - 0
VIC
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 sep. 2013 |
ALE
2 - 0
SBA
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 sep. 2013 |
SMA
1 - 0
ALE
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -3 |
| 20 sep. 2013 |
ALE
5 - 0
ARR
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
SBA
54%
24%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2013 |
SMA
1 - 0
LUG
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 sep. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
ARR
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2013 |
MUÑ
1 - 1
LUG
54%
25%
21%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 sep. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 1
POR
31%
28%
41%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |