Análisis Lecce vs Cesena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.27
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.3%
28.6%
Empate
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
26.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 1978 |
BRE
1 - 1
LEC
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 1978 |
LEC
0 - 0
ASC
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 1978 |
CAG
0 - 0
LEC
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 1978 |
PIS
0 - 0
LEC
45%
28%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 1978 |
LEC
0 - 0
TAR
53%
28%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 1978 |
CAG
3 - 1
CES
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 1978 |
CES
2 - 0
ASS
52%
29%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 ene. 1978 |
FCC
1 - 1
CES
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 1978 |
PAL
1 - 0
CES
40%
31%
29%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 ene. 1978 |
CES
0 - 0
COM
60%
26%
15%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |