Análisis Lecce vs Cesena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.15
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
30.6%
Empate
0-0
14%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
25.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
11.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 1981 |
VAR
2 - 1
LEC
51%
30%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 3
BAR
59%
26%
15%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 feb. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 1
LEC
64%
23%
14%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAL
45%
29%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 ene. 1981 |
TAR
0 - 0
LEC
50%
30%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 1981 |
CES
1 - 1
PIS
67%
22%
11%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 1981 |
SAM
0 - 0
CES
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 1981 |
CES
2 - 0
PES
62%
24%
14%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 ene. 1981 |
ATL
0 - 0
CES
45%
30%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 1981 |
CES
2 - 1
USF
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |