Análisis Lecce vs Cesena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.29
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
29.2%
Empate
0-0
14.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
18.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
9.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 sep. 1984 |
BAR
2 - 0
LEC
58%
27%
15%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 1984 |
LEC
1 - 0
VAR
50%
29%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 sep. 1984 |
SSS
1 - 3
LEC
44%
32%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 sep. 1984 |
LEC
0 - 3
FCC
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 sep. 1984 |
LEC
6 - 0
CAV
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 sep. 1984 |
CES
1 - 1
CAT
61%
25%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 1984 |
CAG
0 - 1
CES
54%
29%
17%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 1984 |
CES
1 - 2
ARZ
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 1984 |
CES
1 - 2
USC
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 sep. 1984 |
VIC
1 - 1
CES
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |