Análisis Lecce vs Cesena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.86
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ene. 1997 |
TOR
4 - 2
LEC
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 1997 |
LEC
2 - 1
PES
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 1997 |
CAS
2 - 1
LEC
30%
27%
44%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 1996 |
LEC
0 - 0
BRE
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 1996 |
SAL
1 - 1
LEC
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ene. 1997 |
CES
2 - 1
EMP
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 1997 |
RAV
2 - 0
CES
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 1997 |
CES
1 - 1
ASL
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 1996 |
USF
0 - 0
CES
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 1996 |
USC
1 - 0
CES
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |