Análisis Lecce vs Cesena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.04
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.5%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 mar. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 1
LEC
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2008 |
LEC
2 - 0
RIM
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2008 |
BRE
0 - 0
LEC
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2008 |
SPE
1 - 1
LEC
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2008 |
LEC
0 - 0
BOL
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 mar. 2008 |
CES
1 - 1
MAN
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2008 |
CES
1 - 1
ASC
31%
29%
41%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 0
CES
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2008 |
CES
2 - 1
MOD
32%
27%
42%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 mar. 2008 |
BRE
3 - 0
CES
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |