Análisis Lecce vs Cesena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 may. 2010 |
ASC
1 - 2
LEC
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2010 |
LEC
2 - 1
ABN
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2010 |
GRO
0 - 3
LEC
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 abr. 2010 |
LEC
2 - 2
BRE
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2010 |
PAD
1 - 1
LEC
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 may. 2010 |
CES
2 - 0
PAD
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2010 |
FRO
0 - 2
CES
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2010 |
CES
2 - 3
EMP
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 1
CES
59%
25%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2010 |
CES
3 - 1
MAN
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |