Análisis Lecce vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.54
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
25.7%
Empate
0-0
10%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
18.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 mar. 1992 |
TAR
0 - 0
LEC
35%
31%
34%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 1992 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAL
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 feb. 1992 |
PIS
4 - 0
LEC
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 feb. 1992 |
LEC
1 - 1
CES
51%
27%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 1992 |
MOD
3 - 1
LEC
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 mar. 1992 |
MES
1 - 0
PAD
47%
29%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 1992 |
BRE
1 - 0
MES
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 feb. 1992 |
MES
2 - 0
UDI
38%
30%
32%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 feb. 1992 |
PES
1 - 0
MES
57%
25%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 feb. 1992 |
MES
0 - 1
BOL
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |