Análisis Lecce vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+25%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 feb. 2005 |
PAL
3 - 2
LEC
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2005 |
LEC
3 - 0
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 feb. 2005 |
CAG
3 - 1
LEC
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 feb. 2005 |
LEC
1 - 1
ROM
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2005 |
BRE
0 - 1
LEC
49%
24%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 2005 |
MES
0 - 0
JUV
16%
24%
60%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2005 |
SIE
2 - 2
MES
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 feb. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 0
MES
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 feb. 2005 |
MES
1 - 4
ACM
18%
28%
54%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2005 |
ROM
3 - 2
MES
78%
15%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |