Análisis Lecce vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.88
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.3%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2005 |
PAL
3 - 0
LEC
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2005 |
LEC
0 - 3
JUV
17%
24%
59%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2005 |
REG
2 - 0
LEC
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2005 |
LEC
3 - 0
CAG
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2005 |
EMP
1 - 0
LEC
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 1
MES
61%
23%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 2005 |
MES
1 - 1
ASC
60%
22%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 2005 |
JUV
1 - 0
MES
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2005 |
MES
1 - 4
SAM
43%
27%
29%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 sep. 2005 |
SIE
4 - 2
MES
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |