Análisis Lecce vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.21
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.8%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.57
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 1
LEC
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 0
TAR
75%
16%
8%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 2
JUS
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 abr. 2017 |
NUO
0 - 0
LEC
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 mar. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 0
FON
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2017 |
MES
3 - 4
ASM
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2017 |
FON
1 - 1
MES
57%
23%
21%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2017 |
MES
1 - 1
AKR
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2017 |
FIA
0 - 1
MES
57%
24%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 mar. 2017 |
MAT
5 - 1
MES
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |