Análisis Lecce vs Modena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.69
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 sep. 1991 |
BRE
1 - 2
LEC
36%
30%
34%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1991 |
VER
5 - 0
LEC
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 sep. 1991 |
LEC
1 - 0
VNZ
63%
24%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 1991 |
LEC
1 - 0
VER
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 ago. 1991 |
LEC
2 - 0
VIR
83%
13%
4%
|
76 | 40 | 36 | 0 |
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 sep. 1991 |
MOD
3 - 1
PIS
37%
29%
35%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1991 |
MOD
0 - 3
SAM
21%
29%
50%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 1991 |
PES
3 - 1
MOD
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 ago. 1991 |
SAM
3 - 1
MOD
81%
14%
5%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | +1 |
| 24 ago. 1991 |
PIA
1 - 1
MOD
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |