Análisis Lecce vs Siena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.5
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 feb. 2004 |
LEC
1 - 0
MOD
48%
27%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2004 |
BRE
1 - 2
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2004 |
LEC
1 - 1
ACM
18%
26%
56%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 feb. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 3
LEC
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2004 |
ANC
0 - 2
LEC
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 feb. 2004 |
SIE
0 - 0
REG
36%
27%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2004 |
ROM
6 - 0
SIE
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 feb. 2004 |
SIE
1 - 2
PAR
21%
26%
53%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2004 |
EMP
1 - 0
SIE
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2004 |
INT
4 - 0
SIE
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |