Análisis Lecce vs Avellino
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.03
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.5%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 2008 |
ASC
2 - 1
LEC
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2008 |
LEC
1 - 0
TRI
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2008 |
TRE
0 - 0
LEC
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2008 |
LEC
3 - 0
FRO
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 ene. 2008 |
VIC
1 - 3
LEC
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 2008 |
BOL
3 - 1
AVE
68%
21%
12%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2008 |
AVE
0 - 1
FRO
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 feb. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 0
AVE
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 1
TRE
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2008 |
BRE
3 - 0
AVE
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |