Análisis Lemona vs SD Erandio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.79
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lemona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 oct. 1978 |
AUR
1 - 0
LEM
42%
27%
31%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 1978 |
CDM
1 - 0
LEM
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 sep. 1978 |
SDE
3 - 1
LEM
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 sep. 1978 |
LEM
2 - 1
SDE
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 1978 |
MUT
4 - 2
LEM
66%
19%
16%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 oct. 1978 |
RSO
3 - 1
SDE
73%
18%
9%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 1978 |
SDE
2 - 2
TUD
40%
29%
31%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 sep. 1978 |
SDE
3 - 1
LEM
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 sep. 1978 |
LEM
2 - 1
SDE
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 sep. 1978 |
SDE
2 - 0
CDM
67%
18%
16%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |