Análisis Lens vs Ajaccio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 may. 2004 |
LEN
1 - 3
AUX
41%
28%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2004 |
SOC
0 - 3
LEN
60%
23%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 may. 2004 |
LEN
1 - 1
TFC
62%
23%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2004 |
GUI
1 - 0
LEN
41%
27%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2004 |
LEN
0 - 0
MON
27%
27%
47%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 0
SOC
20%
27%
53%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2004 |
AUX
1 - 1
AJA
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2004 |
AJA
0 - 0
GUI
27%
26%
48%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2004 |
TFC
3 - 1
AJA
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2004 |
AJA
0 - 0
MPL
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |