Análisis Lens vs Ajaccio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.54
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.7%
Empate
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
20.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 dic. 2018 |
CLE
0 - 0
LEN
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 2018 |
VER
2 - 4
LEN
2%
5%
94%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2018 |
LEN
2 - 1
BRE
34%
28%
39%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 nov. 2018 |
LOR
2 - 2
LEN
51%
25%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2018 |
LEN
0 - 0
GRE
55%
27%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 dic. 2018 |
ORL
1 - 3
AJA
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 1
ASN
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2018 |
BRE
2 - 0
AJA
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 nov. 2018 |
AJA
0 - 0
CLE
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2018 |
OLY
2 - 0
AJA
9%
19%
72%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | -1 |