Análisis Lens vs Bastia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.4%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 1982 |
LIL
0 - 3
LEN
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 1982 |
LEN
1 - 0
MPL
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1982 |
GIR
0 - 1
LEN
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 abr. 1982 |
LEN
2 - 1
LYO
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 abr. 1982 |
ASN
0 - 0
LEN
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 1982 |
BAS
3 - 1
PSG
38%
27%
36%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 1982 |
SOC
3 - 0
BAS
70%
19%
12%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 abr. 1982 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASS
29%
28%
44%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 1982 |
MON
4 - 1
BAS
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 1982 |
BAS
1 - 1
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |