Análisis Lens vs Bastia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.2%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ago. 1982 |
FCM
1 - 3
LEN
31%
29%
40%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 1982 |
LEN
2 - 2
GIR
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 ago. 1982 |
LEN
2 - 1
ASN
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1982 |
LEN
1 - 1
BAS
62%
21%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 may. 1982 |
LIL
0 - 3
LEN
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ago. 1982 |
BAS
2 - 0
MON
33%
27%
39%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 1982 |
NAN
3 - 0
BAS
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 ago. 1982 |
BAS
2 - 1
ASS
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1982 |
LEN
1 - 1
BAS
62%
21%
16%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 may. 1982 |
BAS
3 - 1
PSG
38%
27%
36%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |