Análisis Lens vs Bastia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
72.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.32
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 dic. 1983 |
AUX
4 - 0
LEN
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 1983 |
LEN
0 - 3
PSG
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 1983 |
AND
1 - 0
LEN
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 1983 |
MON
3 - 1
LEN
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 nov. 1983 |
LEN
2 - 1
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 dic. 1983 |
BAS
2 - 1
BRE
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 1983 |
TFC
4 - 0
BAS
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 dic. 1983 |
BAS
3 - 0
STL
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 nov. 1983 |
FCR
1 - 2
BAS
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 nov. 1983 |
BAS
1 - 3
GIR
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |