Análisis Lens vs Bastia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.78
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 nov. 1998 |
MAR
1 - 0
LEN
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 1998 |
LEN
3 - 1
REN
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1998 |
LHA
3 - 1
LEN
31%
28%
41%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 1998 |
PAN
1 - 0
LEN
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 oct. 1998 |
LEN
2 - 0
MET
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 nov. 1998 |
BAS
3 - 1
MON
26%
26%
47%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 1998 |
SOC
2 - 1
BAS
27%
27%
47%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 nov. 1998 |
BAS
2 - 1
LOR
64%
21%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 oct. 1998 |
ASN
1 - 2
BAS
32%
28%
40%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 1998 |
BAS
0 - 0
STR
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |