Análisis Lens vs Le Mans
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 dic. 2005 |
LEN
2 - 1
SAM
60%
22%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 2005 |
LIL
0 - 0
LEN
45%
28%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2005 |
LEN
2 - 1
ASS
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 2005 |
PSG
3 - 4
LEN
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2005 |
HER
0 - 0
LEN
54%
25%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 dic. 2005 |
LMU
1 - 0
GIR
33%
29%
39%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2005 |
MON
2 - 0
LMU
71%
19%
11%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2005 |
LMU
0 - 2
AUX
29%
28%
43%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 2005 |
ASN
1 - 0
LMU
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 nov. 2005 |
LMU
3 - 0
MAR
33%
29%
39%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |