Análisis Lens vs Valenciennes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.01
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 mar. 1976 |
GIR
2 - 2
LEN
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 1976 |
LEN
2 - 1
NIC
52%
24%
25%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 1976 |
NÎM
2 - 2
LEN
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 1976 |
LEN
2 - 0
LIL
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 ene. 1976 |
PSG
4 - 2
LEN
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 mar. 1976 |
VAL
2 - 0
ASA
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 1976 |
SOC
3 - 0
VAL
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 feb. 1976 |
VAL
5 - 1
MON
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 feb. 1976 |
BAS
1 - 1
VAL
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 1976 |
VAL
2 - 0
STR
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |