Análisis Lens vs Valenciennes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.1%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 mar. 1982 |
NIC
3 - 1
LEN
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 1982 |
LEN
1 - 0
NAN
36%
27%
38%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 mar. 1982 |
AUX
1 - 1
LEN
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 1982 |
LEN
4 - 0
BRE
66%
20%
15%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 1982 |
MET
0 - 0
LEN
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 mar. 1982 |
VAL
2 - 2
PSG
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 1982 |
SOC
2 - 0
VAL
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 mar. 1982 |
VAL
2 - 0
MET
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 feb. 1982 |
MON
3 - 1
VAL
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 1982 |
VAL
0 - 0
STR
40%
29%
32%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |