Análisis León vs Durango
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.1
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.7%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 sep. 2005 |
COR
2 - 0
LEO
33%
26%
42%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2005 |
IRA
0 - 0
LEO
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2005 |
LEO
2 - 1
TIG
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 ago. 2005 |
MEX
2 - 2
LEO
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2005 |
LEO
0 - 0
CAO
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 sep. 2005 |
DUR
3 - 0
IRA
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2005 |
TIG
1 - 1
DUR
56%
22%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2005 |
DUR
2 - 2
MEX
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2005 |
CAO
4 - 2
DUR
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 ago. 2005 |
DUR
0 - 0
IND
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |