Análisis Leones Negros II vs Durango
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
64.9%
Probabilidad gana
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Leones Negros II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ago. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 0
MZA
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
LEO
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
Partidos
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ago. 2016 |
DUR
0 - 2
GUA
37%
24%
40%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2016 |
TIJ
2 - 0
DUR
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 abr. 2016 |
MZA
3 - 2
DUR
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2016 |
DUR
4 - 1
SOL
57%
21%
22%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 abr. 2016 |
REY
1 - 0
DUR
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |