Análisis Libertad vs Caracas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
64.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 abr. 2022 |
LIB
3 - 1
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2022 |
STR
1 - 1
LIB
36%
23%
41%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 3
LIB
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
43%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 3
LIB
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 abr. 2022 |
CFC
3 - 2
DEP
52%
25%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 0
ATP
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2022 |
APC
0 - 0
CFC
29%
28%
44%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 1
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2022 |
MET
3 - 0
CFC
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |