Análisis Libertad vs 12 de Octubre
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.11
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.5%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2001 |
LIB
1 - 1
OLI
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2001 |
AME
2 - 2
LIB
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 abr. 2001 |
LIB
4 - 1
CCC
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 mar. 2001 |
GUA
0 - 1
LIB
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2001 |
LIB
2 - 0
CAC
72%
18%
11%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Partidos
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2001 |
LQE
4 - 2
12O
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2001 |
SPO
2 - 2
12O
44%
26%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2001 |
12O
0 - 1
OLI
32%
25%
42%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2001 |
AME
3 - 2
12O
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 mar. 2001 |
12O
0 - 3
CCC
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |