Análisis Libertad vs 12 de Octubre
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 abr. 2008 |
2DE
1 - 0
LIB
29%
30%
41%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2008 |
TAC
1 - 2
LIB
35%
29%
36%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 2
ARS
48%
24%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 1
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2008 |
LIB
3 - 1
LDU
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 2008 |
12O
3 - 1
PET
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2008 |
12O
2 - 2
CCP
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2008 |
SAN
4 - 0
12O
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 abr. 2008 |
AME
2 - 3
12O
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2008 |
12O
2 - 0
2DE
49%
24%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |