Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16

Global 4-5

Análisis Libertad vs Defensor Sporting

Libertad Defensor Sporting
80 ELO 82
2.2% Tilt -9.2%
738º Ranking ELO general 473º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
44.4%
Libertad
25.4%
Empate
30.2%
Defensor Sporting

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Libertad
1.51
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Defensor Sporting
1.21
Goles esperados
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Libertad
+6%
+6%
Defensor Sporting

Progresión del ELO

Libertad
Defensor Sporting
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Libertad
Libertad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 ago. 2008
LIB
Libertad
1 - 0
12 de Octubre
12O
62%
22%
16%
80 69 11 0
20 ago. 2008
DEF
Defensor Sporting
2 - 1
Libertad
LIB
64%
20%
16%
80 82 2 0
16 ago. 2008
CCP
Cerro Porteño
0 - 0
Libertad
LIB
44%
27%
29%
80 77 3 0
10 ago. 2008
LIB
Libertad
1 - 1
Guaraní
GUA
56%
23%
20%
80 73 7 0
03 ago. 2008
SAN
3 de Febrero
1 - 2
Libertad
LIB
36%
27%
37%
80 66 14 0

Partidos

Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 ago. 2008
DEF
Defensor Sporting
0 - 0
Cerro CA
CER
76%
16%
8%
83 66 17 0
20 ago. 2008
DEF
Defensor Sporting
2 - 1
Libertad
LIB
64%
20%
16%
82 80 2 +1
25 jun. 2008
DEF
Defensor Sporting
0 - 0
Peñarol
PEÑ
53%
23%
24%
83 81 2 -1
22 jun. 2008
PEÑ
Peñarol
1 - 2
Defensor Sporting
DEF
56%
22%
22%
83 82 1 0
01 jun. 2008
BVS
Bella Vista
1 - 2
Defensor Sporting
DEF
26%
27%
47%
83 68 15 0