Análisis Libertad vs Fernando de la Mora
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.37
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.6%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14.3%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
5.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.46
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ago. 2006 |
CCP
0 - 1
LIB
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
LIB
45%
25%
29%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 2006 |
LIB
3 - 1
CCP
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 ago. 2006 |
LIB
2 - 0
TAC
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2006 |
LQE
2 - 3
LIB
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ago. 2006 |
FER
0 - 2
GUA
30%
26%
45%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 ago. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 2
FER
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 ago. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
OLI
24%
26%
51%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 ago. 2006 |
2DE
0 - 1
FER
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 jul. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
12O
35%
27%
39%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |