Análisis Libertad vs Fernando de la Mora
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.32
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.5%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.54
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 mar. 2006 |
PAU
0 - 0
LIB
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 4
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 2006 |
LIB
0 - 1
2DE
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 2006 |
LIB
2 - 0
RIV
38%
24%
39%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2006 |
12O
1 - 0
LIB
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 feb. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
CCP
20%
25%
55%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2006 |
OLI
2 - 2
FER
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2006 |
FER
1 - 2
GUA
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 ene. 2006 |
2DE
0 - 0
FER
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |