Análisis Libertad vs Guaraní
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
72.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.53
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.2%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ago. 2003 |
LIB
2 - 0
SPO
82%
13%
5%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 2003 |
LIB
0 - 0
OLI
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2003 |
GUA
0 - 1
LIB
44%
23%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 ago. 2003 |
TAC
2 - 4
LIB
30%
26%
45%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 ago. 2003 |
CCP
2 - 2
LIB
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ago. 2003 |
GUA
1 - 0
12O
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 2003 |
GUA
1 - 1
SPO
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2003 |
GUA
0 - 1
LIB
44%
23%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 ago. 2003 |
OLI
3 - 2
GUA
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 ago. 2003 |
GUA
0 - 2
TAC
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |